Category: Trading

trading

Oil or Turmoil?

Oil or Turmoil?

The economics of crude oil pricing is one of the most complex and variable mechanisms in the commodities market; indeed, as a depleting non-renewable resource, its cost of extraction depends not only on the current rate of production but also on the amount of cumulative production. In this sense, the low-carbon transition is driving rapid change across global energy systems.

The Recovery Shape is W, hopefully…

The Recovery Shape is W, hopefully…

Many shapes for different economic recessions and hopes. A V-shaped starts off with a sharp decline, followed by a strong recovery. A U-shaped starts off with a more gradual drop, once hits bottom it stays there for some time prior to bouncing back. An L-shaped recession, the worst one, starts with a sharp decline in economic activity followed by a very slow recovery period. A W-shaped has GDP, employment, industrial output sharply declining and rising for two times in a row…

Optimization

Optimization

Optimization theory has developed from the earliest approaches of De Fermat, Lagrange, Newton, and Gauss through the formalization of Linear programming in 1939 by Kantorovich, the Simplex method of Dantzig and the Duality Theory of von Neumann in 1947, and the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker condition in 1951. Its application disrupted logistics, banking, and economics. In 1960, the…

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The 2021 Recovery

The 2021 Recovery

From the Balance of Payment it is possible to understand the amount and direction of the net capital inflow (or outflow). Indeed, making an educated guess on the new locations for investment and trade may make the difference in investing after the epidemic.

Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment Analysis

In finance, sentiment refers to the measurement of the excessive confidence, either positive or negative, of investors in a specific situation. The fundamental reason why it is studied is because psychologists determined sentiment as a relevant factor affecting the judgement and decisions of investors.

The Geopolitics of Currencies

The Geopolitics of Currencies

The 1944 Bretton Woods agreement jumpstarted the dollar into its reserve currency status. While economists proposed global trust and confidence in the US ability to pay its obligations, a more compelling justitification has its roots in United States’ political influence.

Entering Recession with Covid-19 and Deflation

Entering Recession with Covid-19 and Deflation

Epidemic models may help in assessing the impact of COVID-19 on the economy as well as to understand the market’s interpretation of the virus impact. In this respect, Shiller’s narrative economics may provide insights with wider practical implications than behavioral economics.

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