Tag: Investment

Oil or Turmoil?

Oil or Turmoil?

The economics of crude oil pricing is one of the most complex and variable mechanisms in the commodities market; indeed, as a depleting non-renewable resource, its cost of extraction depends not only on the current rate of production but also on the amount of cumulative production. In this sense, the low-carbon transition is driving rapid change across global energy systems.

The Recovery Shape is W, hopefully…

The Recovery Shape is W, hopefully…

Many shapes for different economic recessions and hopes. A V-shaped starts off with a sharp decline, followed by a strong recovery. A U-shaped starts off with a more gradual drop, once hits bottom it stays there for some time prior to bouncing back. An L-shaped recession, the worst one, starts with a sharp decline in economic activity followed by a very slow recovery period. A W-shaped has GDP, employment, industrial output sharply declining and rising for two times in a row…

Financial Constraints on Inventory Investment

Financial Constraints on Inventory Investment

Inventories have been studied by macro-economist for their role in the business cycles (Abramovitz 1950) and their relation with corporate profits (Mitchell 1951, Lucas 1977) and with the volatility of cash flows (Fazzari, Hubbard et al. 1988), both key leading indicators of the state of the economy (Carpenter, Fazzari et al. 1994); other evidence suggests their implications on the general level of the economy in case of financial shocks because of erroneous forecasts (Bernanke and Gertler 1989, Bernanke, Gertler et al. 1996) or their limited efficiency in collateralization (Berk 2014).

My view on investment management

My view on investment management

It is has been long held that the asset allocation policy may account up to the 90% of the variation in returns (Brinson, Hood, & Beebower, 1995). However, other studies argued that about three-quarters of such variation are explained by the market movement, and the remaining by the equal contribution of the specific asset allocation…

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Property, Credit crunch and Investment – Part II

Property, Credit crunch and Investment – Part II

This short analysis is prepared to assist a private sector house builder facing the credit crunch. In the next posts we provide strategies and insights in evaluating the development scheme and improving its performances… The development scheme, realized with a traditional procurement route, consists of 10 storey residential building with retail space at the ground…

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Property, Credit crunch and Investment – Part I

Property, Credit crunch and Investment – Part I

This short analysis is prepared to assist a private sector house builder facing the credit crunch. In the next posts we provide strategies and insights in evaluating the development scheme and improving its performances…

Property Portfolio Management, Considerations for future investments – Part II

Property Portfolio Management, Considerations for future investments – Part II

The economic performance of today’s cities and regions could suggest a profitable strategy of investment. Clearly the outcomes of the different effects of globalization on any region or country will depend on the structure and history of the region, the actual scale of the local technological and institutional changes, the existing spatial structure and the extent of urban clustering.

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