From the Balance of Payment it is possible to understand the amount and direction of the net capital inflow (or outflow). Indeed, making an educated guess on the new locations for investment and trade may make the difference in investing after the epidemic.
With respect to the COVID-19 impact, it has not passed unobserved that the $3.3 trillion issuance of debt securities in the first half of 2020 has been purchased only by the U.S. Federal Reserve (46%) and national/international private investors (40%); instead, foreign central banks, already holding trillions of dollars of U.S. Treasuries, did not acquire a significant amount. In other terms, it seems the U.S. is substantially moving to own its debt in what we can define a Japanese way of managing the economy; probably, other developed countries will soon engage in similar practices.
Epidemic models may help in assessing the impact of COVID-19 on the economy as well as to understand the market’s interpretation of the virus impact. In this respect, Shiller’s narrative economics may provide insights with wider practical implications than behavioral economics.
Options trading is based on some rational motivation generally involving an edge or the need for hedge. An edge is what determines a trade positive expected value; usually, it is some kind of correct and not widely available information. Instead, a hedge is a trade offsetting an existing risk of another investment. Finally, trading should…
Safe heaven portfolio can be a wise option considering 2019 marks the 11th year to an already-extended bull market which started in in the aftermath of the great financial crisis. It has been a long and very rewarding run for all investors… Especially REIT investors who have continued their long streak of market outperformance. Since we are likely to hit a recession sooner rather than later (1-2 years), tracking a safe heaven portfolio is important.
Quantitative Trading relates to the development strategies based on econometrics and mathematical models employng historical. While it was a prerogative of financial institutions and hedge funds, today it can be implemented, altough on a smaller scale, by small trading firms and individuals. In general, the strategy is completely automated (order generation, submission, and execution) but…
Financial advice, among the other activities, complete the range of Pro Bono activities performed. I provide a personalized recommendation based on a potential range of financial services and products in a consultative way with the objective of meeting your needs and wants by suggesting the appropriate financial products and services. Note that I do not…
Inventories have been studied by macro-economist for their role in the business cycles (Abramovitz 1950) and their relation with corporate profits (Mitchell 1951, Lucas 1977) and with the volatility of cash flows (Fazzari, Hubbard et al. 1988), both key leading indicators of the state of the economy (Carpenter, Fazzari et al. 1994); other evidence suggests their implications on the general level of the economy in case of financial shocks because of erroneous forecasts (Bernanke and Gertler 1989, Bernanke, Gertler et al. 1996) or their limited efficiency in collateralization (Berk 2014).
Innovation in Distribution and Retail of the Publishing Industry in Italy should focus on the integration of old and new channels to target correctly customer needs and allow sales to grow again.
Pension investing is more a process of matching assets to liabilities, with the ultimate objective being to pay retirement income. Usually a young plan can afford greater risk because of longer time horizons. The solvency of pensions and insurers suffered as yields fell because it increased the present value of their liabilities, which were difficult to match with assets.
